how are cryptocurrencies different, Top

2024-12-13 22:55:16

After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Analyst Kaye: Consumer energy prices rose slightly month by month in November, but dropped by more than 3% compared with the same period last year. The prices of all kinds of gasoline dropped by more than 8% year-on-year. According to the data of the Automobile Club of the American Automobile Association, the average price of gas stations has been falling in recent weeks, approaching the threshold of $3 per gallon.JPMorgan Chase downgraded C3.ai(AI.N), saying that the cost of artificial intelligence games is too high.


U.S. stock index futures expanded before the market, with S&P 500 futures up 0.4%, Nasdaq futures up 0.6% and Dow futures up 0.2%.In November, the CPI of the United States hit its biggest increase in seven months, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates next week. The consumer price index of the United States recorded its biggest increase in seven months in November, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates for the third time next week in the context of the cooling job market. Data show that CPI rose by 0.3% last month, the biggest increase since April, after the index rose by 0.2% for four consecutive months. The year-on-year growth rate of CPI rose by 2.7% after rising by 2.6% in October. Compared with the peak of 9.1% in June 2022, the year-on-year growth rate of inflation has slowed down significantly. Nevertheless, in recent months, the process of reducing the inflation rate to the Fed's 2% target has actually stalled. However, the Fed is now more concerned about the labor market. Although employment growth accelerated in November after being severely disturbed by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate accelerated to 4.2% after staying at 4.1% for two consecutive months.Guang' an Aizhong: The company's stock price has been up and down for many days, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Guang' an Aizhong issued a change announcement. On December 11, 2024, the company's stock turnover rate was 11.73%, with a turnover of 919 million yuan. Since November 21, 2024, the company's stock has experienced a daily limit of 9 trading days, with a cumulative turnover rate of 257.64%. In view of the daily limit of the company's stock price for many days, but the company's fundamentals have not changed significantly, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Investors are advised to make rational decisions and invest cautiously.


Analyst Curran: There are almost no surprises in today's CPI data. The housing index rose by 0.3% in November, accounting for nearly 40% of the monthly increase in all projects.Hershey's share price fell 5.2% before the market.Cross-border communication: 1% of the company's shares held by the company's largest shareholder and its concerted action plan to be enforced. Cross-border communication (002640) announced on the evening of December 11 that Yang Jianxin, the company's largest shareholder and its concerted action person, Xinyu Ruijing Enterprise Management Service Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Xinyu Ruijing") may be forced to enforce the cross-border communication shares held by them due to a dispute over equity pledge debt. Three days after the disclosure of the announcement, The price of this enforcement is determined according to the market price at the time of reduction.

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